Hi All,
We are departing tomorrow... below you will find what the weather forcasters say...
To: Walid Abuhaidar on SY "Sandwitch"
From: Commanders' Weather Corporation, 603-882-6789
Route: Newport, RI to Bermuda
Depart: approx 2000edt Sun, October 19, 2008
Prepared: 1030edt Sat, October 18, 2008
Summary…
1) The current weather map features large and strong high pressure ridging from southeast Canada southwestward to the southern Plain States.
2) Low pressure is organizing just east of Cape Hatteras heading ENE.
3) A weak and broad high pressure ridge is located to the south of the developing low covering much of the western Atlantic.
4) The low offshore will continue to intensify into Sunday, but it will not become a particularly strong system.
5) The main factor for the developing rough conditions will be the strong high to the west which will continue pushing eastward while the offshore low does not move very fast and this will set up a strong pressure gradient.
a) Already right now winds are NE at 20-30 knots not too far off the coast of southern New England.
6) By Sunday morning, 30-40 knot NE gales will not be too far offshore.
7) By late Sunday when you depart, the low will be centered about 300 miles SE of Newport and pulling away with the high pressure ridge just inland of the coast.
8) Winds will be NE building to 15-25 knots as you head out Sunday evening.
9) These wind speeds will continue for all of Sunday night and into the predawn hours on Monday while winds back from the NE to the N as the low pulls further away to the east.
10) Conditions will continue to settle down on Monday as the low continues to move away and high pressure builds off the New England coast by late in the day.
a) Look for winds to back into the NNW and decrease into the teens Monday PM.
11) The ridge of high pressure will rotate over you Monday night with winds backing to the W and WSW and becoming fairly light for a time.
12) By Tuesday morning the ridge will be to the south near 35n oriented more west to east and this will bring you westerly winds for much of Tuesday.
a) Speeds look to be mainly in the 10-20 knot range.
b) So this looks like good wind directions for crossing the Gulf Stream.
13) Meanwhile, another strong cold front will be coming through New England on Tuesday and this will approach you on Wednesday with winds clocking from the W into the NW and freshening behind the front.
a) Speeds look to be around 15-25 knots behind it.
14) Another big and cold high pressure system will be building across southeast Canada and looks to ridge SE toward Bermuda into Thursday so winds should clock your winds into the N and then NE.
15) Seas are going to be quite large to start your trip building to 9-13 feet Sunday night, then up to 10-15 feet on Monday with large NE swell and some wind wave chop, then by Tuesday it will be mainly just leftover swell around 8-12 feet on the Gulf Stream and this swell will continue to gradually decrease into Wednesday and Thursday.
16) General weather will be mostly cloudy Sunday night with a chance of showers then decreasing clouds on Monday with fair weather early Tuesday, then a chance of showers later Tuesday into early Wednesday ahead of the approaching cold front.
17) Please keep us advised of your progress and recommend giving us a call sometime tomorrow before you leave to make sure there are no big changes to the forecast.
Routing:
1) You will not want to take a rhumb line to Bermuda as this would take you through a large meander with current coming from the S to SE.
2) Recommend aiming for 37 20n/70w coming out of Newport which is about where you can expect to enter the Gulf Stream, then once at that point aim directly for Bermuda which will have you coming out of the Gulf Stream around 36 40n/69 15w.
3) Estimated positions listed below.
Wind forecasts
Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is EDT
Sun, October 19
08: 020-040/15-25
14: 030-050/15-25
20: 020-040/15-25 approx departure
Weather: Mostly cloudy, chance of a few showers offshore in the evening
Seas building to 9-13 feet, large NE swell and wind wave chop
Mon, October 20 – winds stronger to the E and lighter to the W
02: 360-020/18-25
08: 350-010/15-22 near 40n/70 50w
14: 340-360/12-20
20: 340-360/10-18
Weather: Decreasing cloudiness
Seas 10-15 feet, large NE swell and choppy early, but chop will decrease PM
Tue, October 21
02: 300-320/ 7-14
08: 260-280/10-16 near 37 20n/70w, entering Gulf Stream
14: 240-260/12-20 near 36 40n/69 15w, exiting Gulf Stream
20: 250-270/12-20
Weather: Fair early, then partly to variably cloudy with a chance of PM showers and possibly a brief squall
Seas 8-12 feet, highest on the Gulf Stream with NE to N swell
Wed, October 22
08: 270-290/15-22 near 35n/67 35w
20: 320-340/15-25
Weather: Mostly to variably cloudy with scattered showers and possibly a squall earlySeas 6-10 feet, continued N swell and some wind wave chop especially late
Thu, October 23
08: 340-360/15-22 approaching Bermuda
20: 010-030/12-20 Bermuda
Weather: Variably to partly cloudy
Seas 6-9 feet, N swell
From: Commanders' Weather Corporation, 603-882-6789
Route: Newport, RI to Bermuda
Depart: approx 2000edt Sun, October 19, 2008
Prepared: 1030edt Sat, October 18, 2008
Summary…
1) The current weather map features large and strong high pressure ridging from southeast Canada southwestward to the southern Plain States.
2) Low pressure is organizing just east of Cape Hatteras heading ENE.
3) A weak and broad high pressure ridge is located to the south of the developing low covering much of the western Atlantic.
4) The low offshore will continue to intensify into Sunday, but it will not become a particularly strong system.
5) The main factor for the developing rough conditions will be the strong high to the west which will continue pushing eastward while the offshore low does not move very fast and this will set up a strong pressure gradient.
a) Already right now winds are NE at 20-30 knots not too far off the coast of southern New England.
6) By Sunday morning, 30-40 knot NE gales will not be too far offshore.
7) By late Sunday when you depart, the low will be centered about 300 miles SE of Newport and pulling away with the high pressure ridge just inland of the coast.
8) Winds will be NE building to 15-25 knots as you head out Sunday evening.
9) These wind speeds will continue for all of Sunday night and into the predawn hours on Monday while winds back from the NE to the N as the low pulls further away to the east.
10) Conditions will continue to settle down on Monday as the low continues to move away and high pressure builds off the New England coast by late in the day.
a) Look for winds to back into the NNW and decrease into the teens Monday PM.
11) The ridge of high pressure will rotate over you Monday night with winds backing to the W and WSW and becoming fairly light for a time.
12) By Tuesday morning the ridge will be to the south near 35n oriented more west to east and this will bring you westerly winds for much of Tuesday.
a) Speeds look to be mainly in the 10-20 knot range.
b) So this looks like good wind directions for crossing the Gulf Stream.
13) Meanwhile, another strong cold front will be coming through New England on Tuesday and this will approach you on Wednesday with winds clocking from the W into the NW and freshening behind the front.
a) Speeds look to be around 15-25 knots behind it.
14) Another big and cold high pressure system will be building across southeast Canada and looks to ridge SE toward Bermuda into Thursday so winds should clock your winds into the N and then NE.
15) Seas are going to be quite large to start your trip building to 9-13 feet Sunday night, then up to 10-15 feet on Monday with large NE swell and some wind wave chop, then by Tuesday it will be mainly just leftover swell around 8-12 feet on the Gulf Stream and this swell will continue to gradually decrease into Wednesday and Thursday.
16) General weather will be mostly cloudy Sunday night with a chance of showers then decreasing clouds on Monday with fair weather early Tuesday, then a chance of showers later Tuesday into early Wednesday ahead of the approaching cold front.
17) Please keep us advised of your progress and recommend giving us a call sometime tomorrow before you leave to make sure there are no big changes to the forecast.
Routing:
1) You will not want to take a rhumb line to Bermuda as this would take you through a large meander with current coming from the S to SE.
2) Recommend aiming for 37 20n/70w coming out of Newport which is about where you can expect to enter the Gulf Stream, then once at that point aim directly for Bermuda which will have you coming out of the Gulf Stream around 36 40n/69 15w.
3) Estimated positions listed below.
Wind forecasts
Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is EDT
Sun, October 19
08: 020-040/15-25
14: 030-050/15-25
20: 020-040/15-25 approx departure
Weather: Mostly cloudy, chance of a few showers offshore in the evening
Seas building to 9-13 feet, large NE swell and wind wave chop
Mon, October 20 – winds stronger to the E and lighter to the W
02: 360-020/18-25
08: 350-010/15-22 near 40n/70 50w
14: 340-360/12-20
20: 340-360/10-18
Weather: Decreasing cloudiness
Seas 10-15 feet, large NE swell and choppy early, but chop will decrease PM
Tue, October 21
02: 300-320/ 7-14
08: 260-280/10-16 near 37 20n/70w, entering Gulf Stream
14: 240-260/12-20 near 36 40n/69 15w, exiting Gulf Stream
20: 250-270/12-20
Weather: Fair early, then partly to variably cloudy with a chance of PM showers and possibly a brief squall
Seas 8-12 feet, highest on the Gulf Stream with NE to N swell
Wed, October 22
08: 270-290/15-22 near 35n/67 35w
20: 320-340/15-25
Weather: Mostly to variably cloudy with scattered showers and possibly a squall earlySeas 6-10 feet, continued N swell and some wind wave chop especially late
Thu, October 23
08: 340-360/15-22 approaching Bermuda
20: 010-030/12-20 Bermuda
Weather: Variably to partly cloudy
Seas 6-9 feet, N swell
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